Oldham Athletic vs Cheltenham Town: the story of the match
19' — Oldham Athletic took the lead: 1-0. Calum Kavanagh scored it. 26' — Oldham Athletic extended the lead: 2-0. Jamie Robson scored it. 42' — Oldham Athletic extended the lead: 3-0. Favour Fawunmi scored it. 45' — Cheltenham Town pulled one back: 3-1. Freddie Willcox scored it. Half time: 3-1.
81' — Oldham Athletic extended the lead: 4-1. Jamie Robson scored it. Oldham Athletic won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Oldham AthleticDrawCheltenham Town
Pre-match model estimate: Oldham Athletic 48%, draw 25%, Cheltenham Town 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Oldham Athletic took the lead on 19 minutes thanks to Calum Kavanagh. Oldham Athletic extended their lead to 2-0 in the 26th minute: Jamie Robson. Oldham Athletic extended their lead to 3-0 in the 42nd minute: Favour Fawunmi. Cheltenham Town pulled one back to make it 3-1 in the 45th minute: Freddie Willcox. Oldham Athletic led 3-1 at the break.
Jamie Robson made it 4-1 for Oldham Athletic after 81 minutes.
Match statistics
Oldham Athletic had 6 shots (4 on target) to Cheltenham Town's 6 (3). Oldham Athletic won 4 corners, Cheltenham Town 5. Cheltenham Town produced 176 dangerous attacks to Oldham Athletic's 160.
The bigger picture
Cheltenham Town have now gone 4 matches without a win.
What’s next
Next up for Oldham Athletic: home to Crawley Town on Saturday 31 October. Cheltenham Town's next match is away to Tranmere Rovers on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.