Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso kick-off time: 12/11/2026 23:00
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Cerro Largo FCLWLDL
- CA ProgresoLWWDL
Recent meetings
More- Primera DivisionCA Progreso0 - 1Cerro Largo FC
- Primera División - ClausuraCA Progreso1 - 2Cerro Largo FC
- Primera División - AperturaCerro Largo FC4 - 1CA Progreso
Primera Division
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Racing Club Montevideo | 13 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Progreso | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | CA Juventud de las Piedras | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 14 | Danubio FC | 13 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo FC | 13 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol FC | 13 | -14 | 8 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Cerro Largo FC and CA Progreso meet on in Primera Division, Clausura.
Venue: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
In our records Cerro Largo FC and CA Progreso have met 5 times: Cerro Largo FC won 5, 0 ended level and CA Progreso won 0.
Their latest meeting (): CA Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo FC.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Cerro Largo FC (48%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso: preview
Cerro Largo FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 2 of Cerro Largo FC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. CA Progreso have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 4 of CA Progreso's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
In their last 5 meetings, Cerro Largo FC won 5, 0 ended level and CA Progreso won 0. Cerro Largo FC are in position 15 with 9 points, CA Progreso in position 7 with 19 points. A win could lift Cerro Largo FC as high as position 13. A win could lift CA Progreso as high as position 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Cerro Largo FC 48%, draw 26%, CA Progreso 26%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them as high as 13.
- A win can lift them as high as 4.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Cerro Largo FC win in 48% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CA Progreso win 26%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 5.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

