Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton Town: the story of the match
25' — Milton Keynes Dons took the lead: 1-0. Alex Gilbey scored it. Half time: 1-0.
70' — Luton Town equalised: 1-1. Jordan Clark scored it. 79' — Milton Keynes Dons went back in front: 2-1. Aaron Collins scored from the penalty spot. Milton Keynes Dons won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Milton Keynes DonsDrawLuton Town
Pre-match model estimate: Milton Keynes Dons 30%, draw 25%, Luton Town 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Milton Keynes Dons took the lead in the 25th minute: Alex Gilbey. Milton Keynes Dons led 1-0 at the break.
Luton Town drew level at 1-1 in the 70th minute: Jordan Clark. Milton Keynes Dons went 2-1 up in the 79th minute: Aaron Collins from the penalty spot.
Match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons had 6 shots (4 on target) to Luton Town's 15 (6). Corners finished 5-6.
What the result means
Milton Keynes Dons have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Luton Town's 3-match unbeaten run is over. Milton Keynes Dons had not beaten Luton Town in any of the previous 3 meetings we have.
League One
