One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
LKP Motor LublinKick-off0-0Wisla Plock
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): LKP Motor Lublin win in 52% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Wisla Plock win 25%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Goals scored per match: 1.6Goals conceded per match: 1.3
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: LKP Motor Lublin won 3-2.
Story
LKP Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock: the story of the match
2' — LKP Motor Lublin took the lead: 1-0. B. Bereszyński scored it. 31' — Wisla Plock equalised: 1-1. An own goal by T. Santos. 33' — Wisla Plock completed the turnaround: 1-2. Afonso Silva scored it. Half time: 1-2.
54' — LKP Motor Lublin equalised: 2-2. M. Ndiaye scored it. 81' — M. Haglind-Sangré of Wisla Plock was sent off. 90' — LKP Motor Lublin completed the turnaround: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. LKP Motor Lublin won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LKP Motor LublinDrawWisla Plock
Pre-match model estimate: LKP Motor Lublin 52%, draw 23%, Wisla Plock 25%.
LKP Motor Lublin came from behind to beat Wisla Plock3-2 in Ekstraklasa. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to LKP Motor Lublin's Fábio Ronaldo: 9.5. The match was played on Friday, 6 November 2026 at Motor Lublin Arena in Lublin (matchday 14).
Key moments
B. Bereszyński opened the scoring for LKP Motor Lublin after 2 minutes, set up by Fábio Ronaldo. The officials disallowed a LKP Motor Lublin goal on 11 minutes. Wisla Plock drew level at 1-1 on 31 minutes thanks to an own goal from T. Santos. Wisla Plock completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 33 minutes thanks to Afonso Silva. Wisla Plock led 2-1 at the break.
LKP Motor Lublin drew level at 2-2 on 54 minutes thanks to M. Ndiaye, set up by Fábio Ronaldo. Wisla Plock had a goal ruled out in the 77th minute after a VAR review. Wisla Plock had a player sent off on 81 minutes: M. Haglind-Sangré. LKP Motor Lublin completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 90 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 8-6. The referee showed 8 yellow cards, 6 to LKP Motor Lublin and 2 to Wisla Plock, and a red. LKP Motor Lublin committed 11 fouls to Wisla Plock's 9, and the offside count read 1-3.
LKP Motor Lublin's yellow cards went to Y. Bourhane in the 35th minute, T. Santos in the 56th minute, Alioune Tall in the 91st minute, F. Luberecki in the 95th minute and M. Ndiaye in the 100th minute. Booked for Wisla Plock: S. Akere (16'), M. Haglind-Sangré (76'), Ł. Sekulski (77') and F. Hiszpański (100').
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to K. Czubak (LKP Motor Lublin, 8.1), S. Akere (Wisla Plock, 7.8) and M. Ndiaye (LKP Motor Lublin, 7.7). From the LKP Motor Lublin bench came K. Lukoszek on 63 minutes, Alioune Tall on 63 minutes, Paskal Konrad Meyer on 80 minutes and M. Bartoš on 80 minutes, among 5 changes. Wisla Plock made 4 changes: S. Hamulić for Ł. Sekulski (63'), F. Hiszpański for O. Kobacki (71'), J. Pršir for S. Akere (71') and K. Pomorski for A. Radwański (83').
How they came into it
Before kick-off LKP Motor Lublin were 11th on 16 points and Wisla Plock 12th on 15 points. LKP Motor Lublin came into the match with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 6. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over KS Cracovia for LKP Motor Lublin. Before kick-off, Wisla Plock's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Wisla Plock drew 2-2 with Piast Gliwice last time out. The record between them over the last 10 matches reads 2-3-5 from LKP Motor Lublin's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026 in Ekstraklasa, ended in a 4-0 win for LKP Motor Lublin. Those 10 games produced 31 goals, an average of 3.1 per match. M. Kochanek was the referee, averaging 4.0 yellow cards per match across 20 matches in our records.
The bigger picture
LKP Motor Lublin climb from 11th to 10th on 19 points. Wisla Plock remain 12th, now with 15 points. LKP Motor Lublin are now unbeaten in 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
