4' — Villarreal took the lead: 0-1. Georges Mikautadze scored it. 29' — Villarreal extended the lead: 0-2. Sergi Cardona scored it. 36' — Liverpool pulled one back: 1-2. Alexis Mac Allister scored it. 45' — Liverpool equalised: 2-2. Ronald Araújo scored it. Half time: 2-2.
66' — Liverpool completed the turnaround: 3-2. Alexis Mac Allister scored it. 69' — Liverpool extended the lead: 4-2. Florian Wirtz scored it. 87' — Villarreal pulled one back: 4-3. Tani Oluwaseyi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Liverpool won 4-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LiverpoolDrawVillarreal
Pre-match model estimate: Liverpool 75%, draw 14%, Villarreal 11%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Villarreal took the lead on 4 minutes thanks to Georges Mikautadze. Villarreal extended their lead to 2-0 on 29 minutes thanks to Sergi Cardona, set up by Nathan Saliba. Alexis Mac Allister reduced the deficit for Liverpool to 1-2 after 36 minutes, set up by Kostas Tsimikas. Liverpool drew level at 2-2 on 45 minutes thanks to Ronald Araújo. The first half ended 2-2.
Liverpool completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 66 minutes thanks to Alexis Mac Allister. Liverpool extended their lead to 4-2 on 69 minutes thanks to Florian Wirtz. Late on, in the 87th minute, Villarreal pulled one back to make it 4-3 through Tani Oluwaseyi, set up by Ayoze Pérez.
The statistics
Liverpool had 15 shots (8 on target) to Villarreal's 9 (5). Liverpool won 7 corners, Villarreal 2. Liverpool produced 193 dangerous attacks to Villarreal's 86.
What the result means
The result lifts Liverpool to 3rd with 9 points, up from 5th. Villarreal drop from 14th to 19th on 3 points. It is Liverpool's first win against Villarreal since 2022.
Next fixtures
Next up for Liverpool: home to Chelsea on Wednesday 28 October. Villarreal's next match is at home against Espanyol on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League
