Levante vs Athletic Bilbao: the story of the match
20' — Levante took the lead: 1-0. Roger Brugué scored it. 22' — Levante extended the lead: 2-0. Roger Brugué scored it. Half time: 2-0.
67' — Athletic Bilbao pulled one back: 2-1. Álex Berenguer scored from the penalty spot. 73' — Aymeric Laporte of Athletic Bilbao was sent off. 90' — Levante extended the lead: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. Levante won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LevanteDrawAthletic Bilbao
Pre-match model estimate: Levante 42%, draw 26%, Athletic Bilbao 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Levante win in 42% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Athletic Bilbao win 32%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Levante took the lead in the 20th minute: Roger Brugué, set up by Dani Requena. Levante extended their lead to 2-0 in the 22nd minute: Roger Brugué. Half-time: 2-0, Levante in front.
Álex Berenguer reduced the deficit for Athletic Bilbao to 2-1 after 67 minutes. Athletic Bilbao had a player sent off on 73 minutes: Aymeric Laporte. Late on, in the 90th minute, Levante extended their lead to 3-1.
Match statistics
Levante won 3 corners, Athletic Bilbao 9. Athletic Bilbao produced 66 dangerous attacks to Levante's 43.
The bigger picture
Levante end a run of 5 matches without a win. Levante ended Athletic Bilbao's unbeaten run of 6 matches. It is Levante's first win over Athletic Bilbao in the last 9 meetings on record.
Next fixtures
Levante visit Tarancon CD next, on 28 October. Next up for Athletic Bilbao: home to Real Sociedad on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga
