Leeds United vs Manchester United: the story of the match
35' — Manchester United took the lead: 0-1. Bryan Mbeumo scored it. Half time: 0-1.
51' — Leeds United equalised: 1-1. Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Leeds UnitedDrawManchester United
Pre-match model estimate: Leeds United 46%, draw 26%, Manchester United 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
On target it was 5-3, from 7 and 7 attempts respectively. Leeds United produced 65 dangerous attacks to Manchester United's 36.
The bigger picture
Manchester United have now gone 6 matches without a win. Across 11 meetings in our records: 1 win for Leeds United, 5 wins for Manchester United and 5 draws.
Coming up
Leeds United's next match is away to Bournemouth on 31 October. Manchester United visit Chelsea next, on 31 October in the Premier League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
