Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Lecco won 4-0.
Story
Lecco vs Juventus Next Generation: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 6' — Lecco took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0, with Juventus Next Generation applying more of the pressure.
50' — Lecco extended the lead: 2-0. 57' — Lecco extended the lead: 3-0. 72' — Lecco extended the lead: 4-0. After 46' the momentum swung to Lecco. After 61' the momentum swung to Juventus Next Generation. Lecco won 4-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LeccoDrawJuventus Next Generation
Pre-match model estimate: Lecco 51%, draw 24%, Juventus Next Generation 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
LeccoJuventus Next Generation
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min6331
Last 15 min5546
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lecco win in 51% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Juventus Next Generation win 25%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lecco took the lead on 6 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Lecco in front.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Lecco. Lecco extended their lead to 2-0 on 50 minutes. Lecco extended their lead to 3-0 on 57 minutes. Juventus Next Generation took over after the 61st minute, pinning Lecco back. Lecco extended their lead to 4-0 on 72 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 1-2, from 3 and 4 attempts respectively. Corners finished 4-7. Dangerous attacks: 97 for Juventus Next Generation, 76 for Lecco.
The bigger picture
Lecco are now unbeaten in 6 matches. Juventus Next Generation's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. Lecco beat Juventus Next Generation for the first time since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
