US Grosseto vs Pescara Calcio: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
51' — Pescara Calcio took the lead: 0-1. Bilal Erradi scored it. 52' — Pescara Calcio extended the lead: 0-2. Giacomo Parigi scored it. 55' — US Grosseto pulled one back: 1-2. Mattia Gaddini scored it. 90' — Pescara Calcio extended the lead: 1-3. Matteo Milan scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Pescara Calcio won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
US GrossetoDrawPescara Calcio
Pre-match model estimate: US Grosseto 30%, draw 23%, Pescara Calcio 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): US Grosseto win in 30% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Pescara Calcio win 47%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Pescara Calcio got the better of US Grosseto, winning 3-1 at Stadio Carlo Zecchini. It was 0-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
The officials disallowed a US Grosseto goal on 34 minutes. It was US Grosseto 0-0 Pescara Calcio at half-time.
Pescara Calcio took the lead on 51 minutes thanks to Bilal Erradi. Pescara Calcio extended their lead to 2-0 on 52 minutes thanks to Giacomo Parigi. US Grosseto pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 55th minute: Mattia Gaddini. Pescara Calcio extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute: Matteo Milan.
The statistics
The shot count read 10-4, 5-2 on target. Corners finished 6-5. Pescara Calcio's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 185 for US Grosseto, 85 for Pescara Calcio.
The bigger picture
US Grosseto's 4-match unbeaten run is over. Pescara Calcio are now unbeaten in 6 matches. Pescara Calcio beat US Grosseto for the first time since 2022.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
