30' — Juventus took the lead: 0-1. Weston McKennie scored it. 41' — Juventus extended the lead: 0-2. Douglas Luiz scored it. Half time: 0-2.
94' — Kialonda Gaspar of Lecce was sent off. Juventus won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LecceDrawJuventus
Pre-match model estimate: Lecce 16%, draw 22%, Juventus 62%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lecce win in 16% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Juventus win 62%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lecce – Juventus match report
Updated:
Juventus beat Lecce2-0 without conceding at Via Del Mare.
Key moments
Juventus took the lead in the 30th minute: Weston McKennie. Juventus extended their lead to 2-0 on 41 minutes thanks to Douglas Luiz, set up by Federico Gatti. It was Lecce 0-2 Juventus at half-time.
Serie A
