32' — Le Mans took the lead: 1-0. A. Bourabaa scored it. 44' — Le Mans extended the lead: 2-0. L. Calodat scored it. 45' — Lens pulled one back: 2-1. A. Sima scored it. Half time: 2-1.
51' — Lens equalised: 2-2. F. Ivanovic scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Le MansDrawLens
Pre-match model estimate: Le Mans 23%, draw 27%, Lens 50%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 2-2 between Le Mans and Lens at Stade Marie-Marvingt. It was 2-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Le Mans took the lead on 32 minutes thanks to A. Bourabaa. Le Mans extended their lead to 2-0 in the 44th minute: L. Calodat, set up by A. Bourabaa. Lens pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 45th minute: A. Sima. Half-time: 2-1, Le Mans in front.
Lens drew level at 2-2 on 51 minutes thanks to F. Ivanovic, set up by R. Aguilar.
What the result means
The wait for a win goes on for Le Mans: 6 matches now.
Next fixtures
Next up for Lens: home to FC Como on Wednesday 4 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
