This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): LASK Linz win in 74% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and WSG Tirol win 11%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
WSG Tirol let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to LASK Linz at Raiffeisen Arena (Linz).
Key moments
WSG Tirol took the lead in the 16th minute: Moritz Wels. LASK Linz drew level at 1-1 in the 23rd minute: Alessandro Schöpf. The officials disallowed a LASK Linz goal on 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between LASK Linz and WSG Tirol.
Robert Ljubicic turned the game around for LASK Linz at 2-1 after 48 minutes.
What the numbers say
LASK Linz had 4 shots (3 on target) to WSG Tirol's 5 (3). Dangerous attacks: 124 for LASK Linz, 92 for WSG Tirol.
What it means
LASK Linz have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. WSG Tirol's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
