Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Match decisions & VAR
44'Penalty awardedAD CarmopolisDecision
73'Red cardOlimpico EC ItabaianinhaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
–
Prediction missed
We had a AD Carmopolis win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ AD Carmopolis 60%✗ Most likely score 2-1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
AD Carmopolis vs Olimpico EC Itabaianinha: the story of the match
Olimpico EC Itabaianinha started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 7' — Olimpico EC Itabaianinha took the lead: 0-1. 45' — AD Carmopolis equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with Olimpico EC Itabaianinha applying more of the pressure.
51' — Olimpico EC Itabaianinha went back in front: 1-2. 73' — Olimpico EC Itabaianinha had a player sent off. 90' — AD Carmopolis equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. After 76' the momentum swung to AD Carmopolis. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AD CarmopolisDrawOlimpico EC Itabaianinha
Pre-match model estimate: AD Carmopolis 60%, draw 21%, Olimpico EC Itabaianinha 19%.
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
AD CarmopolisKick-off0-0Olimpico EC Itabaianinha
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AD Carmopolis win in 60% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Olimpico EC Itabaianinha win 19%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AD Carmopolis – Olimpico EC Itabaianinha match report
AD Carmopolis and Olimpico EC Itabaianinha shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Campeonato Sergipano A2. The half-time score was 1-1. Tuesday 10 November: AD Carmopolis against Olimpico EC Itabaianinha on matchday 5, kick-off 18:00.
Key moments
The early pressure came from Olimpico EC Itabaianinha, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Olimpico EC Itabaianinha took the lead on 7 minutes. AD Carmopolis drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between AD Carmopolis and Olimpico EC Itabaianinha.
Just 6 minutes later (51') Olimpico EC Itabaianinha went 2-1 up. Olimpico EC Itabaianinha had a player sent off on 73 minutes. AD Carmopolis took over after the 76th minute, pinning Olimpico EC Itabaianinha back. Late on, in the 90th minute, AD Carmopolis drew level at 2-2.
The statistics
Expected goals (xG) 1.08 – 0.91: AD Carmopolis created the better chances. AD Carmopolis won 10 corners, Olimpico EC Itabaianinha 2. The referee showed 7 yellow cards, 3 to AD Carmopolis and 4 to Olimpico EC Itabaianinha, and a red. AD Carmopolis produced 264 dangerous attacks to Olimpico EC Itabaianinha's 198. Fouls: 12 by AD Carmopolis, 16 by Olimpico EC Itabaianinha; offsides 8-1.
The context
Before kick-off, AD Carmopolis' last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. AD Carmopolis drew 0-0 with AD Socorrense last time out. Olimpico EC Itabaianinha came into the match with 2 wins and 1 defeat from their last 3 matches — scoring in 3 straight games. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over Flamengo SE for Olimpico EC Itabaianinha.
What the result means
AD Carmopolis' run of 3 clean sheets is over. Olimpico EC Itabaianinha have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
