Kispest Honved FC vs Debreceni VSC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
54' — Debreceni VSC took the lead: 0-1. B. Bošković scored it. 87' — Debreceni VSC extended the lead: 0-2. C. Denes scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Debreceni VSC won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Kispest Honved FCDrawDebreceni VSC
Pre-match model estimate: Kispest Honved FC 37%, draw 24%, Debreceni VSC 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Kispest Honved FC win in 37% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Debreceni VSC win 39%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a Debreceni VSC goal on 20 minutes. Debreceni VSC had a goal ruled out in the 20th minute. Half-time: 0-0 between Kispest Honved FC and Debreceni VSC.
B. Bošković opened the scoring for Debreceni VSC after 54 minutes, set up by B. Dzsudzsák. Debreceni VSC extended their lead to 2-0 in the 87th minute: C. Denes. The officials disallowed a Debreceni VSC goal on 90 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 3-4.
The bigger picture
Kispest Honved FC slip to 11th (10 points), having started the day 10th. Debreceni VSC climb from 7th to 5th on 16 points. Kispest Honved FC's run of 10 matches with a goal comes to an end. Debreceni VSC have now scored in 7 consecutive matches. Debreceni VSC beat Kispest Honved FC for the first time since 2023.
What’s next
Next up for Kispest Honved FC: home to Kisvarda Master Good on Saturday 31 October. Debreceni VSC's next match is away to Csepel FC on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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