Pre-match model estimate: KFC Komarno 53%, draw 22%, AS Trencin 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KFC Komarno win in 53% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and AS Trencin win 25%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
On target it was 4-1, from 5 and 1 attempts respectively. KFC Komarno won 4 corners, AS Trencin 3.
The bigger picture
KFC Komarno stay 12th on 7 points. The result lifts AS Trencin to 10th with 9 points, up from 11th. KFC Komarno have now gone 4 matches without a win. Across 10 meetings in our records: 3 wins for KFC Komarno, 4 wins for AS Trencin and 3 draws.
What’s next
Next up for KFC Komarno: away at FC Spartak Trnava on Saturday 31 October. AS Trencin's next match is at home against SK Slovan Bratislava on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
First League
