36' — FC Kosice took the lead: 1-0. A. Maras scored it. 45' — MSK Zilina equalised: 1-1. M. Fasko scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-1.
51' — MSK Zilina completed the turnaround: 1-2. T. Hranica scored it. 62' — FC Kosice equalised: 2-2. F. Lichy scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC KosiceDrawMSK Zilina
Pre-match model estimate: FC Kosice 47%, draw 21%, MSK Zilina 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Kosice win in 47% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and MSK Zilina win 32%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 70%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Kosice and MSK Zilina shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the 1. League. It was 1-1 at half-time.
Key moments
FC Kosice took the lead in the 36th minute: A. Maras, set up by M. Sovic. MSK Zilina drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes thanks to M. Fasko from the penalty spot. Half-time: 1-1 between FC Kosice and MSK Zilina.
MSK Zilina completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 51st minute: T. Hranica. FC Kosice drew level at 2-2 on 62 minutes thanks to F. Lichy, set up by D. Magda.
What the numbers say
FC Kosice had 8 shots (6 on target) to MSK Zilina's 15 (5). Corners finished 2-5. MSK Zilina's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 191 for MSK Zilina, 114 for FC Kosice.
What the result means
FC Kosice are now unbeaten in 5 matches. MSK Zilina have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for FC Kosice, 5 wins for MSK Zilina and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
