26' — Kasimpasa took the lead: 1-0. Cláudio Winck scored it. 31' — Kasimpasa extended the lead: 2-0. Adem Arous scored it. 45' — Samsunspor pulled one back: 2-1. Tanguy Coulibaly scored it. Half time: 2-1.
64' — Kasimpasa extended the lead: 3-1. Adem Arous scored it. 78' — Kasimpasa extended the lead: 4-1. Adrian Benedyczak scored it. Kasimpasa won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KasimpasaDrawSamsunspor
Pre-match model estimate: Kasimpasa 56%, draw 25%, Samsunspor 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Kasimpasa took the lead on 26 minutes thanks to Cláudio Winck. Kasimpasa extended their lead to 2-0 in the 31st minute: Adem Arous. Samsunspor pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 45 minutes thanks to Tanguy Coulibaly. Kasimpasa led 2-1 at the break.
Adem Arous made it 3-1 for Kasimpasa after 64 minutes. Kasimpasa extended their lead to 4-1 on 78 minutes thanks to Adrian Benedyczak.
The statistics
Kasimpasa had 14 shots (9 on target) to Samsunspor's 6 (4). Corners finished 9-6.
The bigger picture
Samsunspor have lost 6 in a row.
Coming up
Kasimpasa's next match is at home against Besiktas on 1 November. Samsunspor visit Istanbul Basaksehir next, on 1 November in the Super Lig.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Super Lig
