This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KAA Gent win in 30% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and RSC Anderlecht win 41%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (14%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Abdelkahar Kadri opened the scoring for KAA Gent after 15 minutes. KAA Gent led 1-0 at the break.
KAA Gent extended their lead to 2-0 on 73 minutes thanks to Ibrahima Cisse. KAA Gent extended their lead to 3-0 in the 77th minute: Momodou Sonko. KAA Gent extended their lead to 4-0 in the 81st minute: Matties Volckaert. KAA Gent had a goal ruled out.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 5-7, 3-5 on target. Corners finished 2-5. KAA Gent's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 127 for RSC Anderlecht, 77 for KAA Gent.
The bigger picture
KAA Gent remain 1st, now with 25 points. RSC Anderlecht stay 5th on 16 points.
Next fixtures
Next up for KAA Gent: away at Lommel SK on Sunday 1 November. RSC Anderlecht's next match is at home against KVC Westerlo on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Pro League
