One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
KRC GenkKick-off0-0Standard Liege
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KRC Genk win in 58% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Standard Liege win 20%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 55%.
Goals scored per match: 1.3Goals conceded per match: 1.3
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: KRC Genk won 2-1.
Story
KRC Genk vs Standard Liege: the story of the match
27' — KRC Genk took the lead: 1-0. Junya Ito scored it. 33' — Matthieu Epolo of Standard Liege was sent off. Half time: 1-0.
65' — Standard Liege equalised: 1-1. Andi Zeqiri scored it. 77' — KRC Genk went back in front: 2-1. Aaron Bibout scored it. 95' — Daan Heymans of KRC Genk was sent off. KRC Genk won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KRC GenkDrawStandard Liege
Pre-match model estimate: KRC Genk 58%, draw 22%, Standard Liege 20%.
Standard Liege went down 2-1 to KRC Genk in the Pro League. The half-time score was 1-0. Player of the match: Junya Ito of KRC Genk, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.2. Sunday 25 October, Cegeka Arena (Genk): KRC Genk against Standard Liege on matchday 9, kick-off 12:34.
Key moments
KRC Genk took the lead in the 27th minute through Junya Ito. Matthieu Epolo saw a straight red card in the 33rd minute, leaving Standard Liege short-handed. Half-time: 1-0, KRC Genk in front.
Standard Liege drew level at 1-1 on 65 minutes thanks to Andi Zeqiri. Aaron Bibout put KRC Genk 2-1 ahead after 77 minutes. KRC Genk had a player sent off on 95 minutes: Daan Heymans.
Match statistics
KRC Genk won 11 corners, Standard Liege 2. Cards: 1-2 in yellows, plus 2 red cards. KRC Genk produced 22 dangerous attacks to Standard Liege's 2. Fouls: 11 by KRC Genk, 9 by Standard Liege; offsides 4-0.
Before kick-off, KRC Genk's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Last time out, KRC Genk beat Royal Excelsior Virton2-0 away. Standard Liege came into the match with 1 win and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 2-0 win over FCV Dender EH for Standard Liege. KRC Genk and Standard Liege have met 9 times in our records: 2 wins for KRC Genk, 4 for Standard Liege and 3 draws. When they last met, on 16 May 2026, it ended 0-0. There have been 15 goals in the 9 meetings, 1.7 a game.
The bigger picture
KRC Genk have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
