NetherlandsU21 KNVB Divisie Round 4Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Jong PEC Zwolle beat Jong Twente/Heracles Academie 1-0 in U21 KNVB Divisie.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Result verified.
Full time: Jong PEC Zwolle won 0-1.
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
65' — Jong PEC Zwolle took the lead: 0-1. Jong PEC Zwolle won 0-1.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Jong Twente/Heracles Academie 48%, draw 21%, Jong PEC Zwolle 31%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Jong Twente/Heracles Academie win in 48% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Jong PEC Zwolle win 31%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 72%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Updated:
Jong Twente/Heracles Academie failed to score as Jong PEC Zwolle won 1-0 in the U21 KNVB Divisie. It was 0-0 at half-time.
The first half ended 0-0.
Jong PEC Zwolle took the lead on 65 minutes.
On target it was 0-1, from 4 and 4 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-4.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
