Jong KRC Genk vs RFC Seraing: the story of the match
11' — RFC Seraing took the lead: 0-1. A. Tunkadi scored it. 24' — RFC Seraing extended the lead: 0-2. A. Messoussa scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-2.
73' — Jong KRC Genk pulled one back: 1-2. A. De Wannemacker scored from the penalty spot. 94' — Jong KRC Genk equalised: 2-2. A. Palacios scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Jong KRC GenkDrawRFC Seraing
Pre-match model estimate: Jong KRC Genk 50%, draw 25%, RFC Seraing 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
RFC Seraing took the lead in the 11th minute: A. Tunkadi, set up by F. Mabani. RFC Seraing extended their lead to 2-0 on 24 minutes thanks to A. Messoussa from the penalty spot. RFC Seraing led 2-0 at the break.
Jong KRC Genk pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 73 minutes thanks to A. De Wannemacker from the penalty spot. Late on, in the 94th minute, Jong KRC Genk drew level at 2-2 through A. Palacios, set up by A. De Wannemacker.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for RFC Seraing: 6 matches now. Across 5 meetings in our records: 1 win for Jong KRC Genk and 4 draws.
Challenger Pro League
