Inter Milan U23 vs Salernitana: the story of the match
41' — Inter Milan U23 took the lead: 1-0. Charlys scored it. Half time: 1-0.
Inter Milan U23 won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Inter Milan U23DrawSalernitana
Pre-match model estimate: Inter Milan U23 40%, draw 25%, Salernitana 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Inter Milan U23 win in 40% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Salernitana win 35%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 58%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Inter Milan U23 had a goal ruled out in the 30th minute. Inter Milan U23 took the lead in the 41st minute: Charlys. It was Inter Milan U23 1-0 Salernitana at half-time.
What the numbers say
Inter Milan U23 had 4 shots (2 on target) to Salernitana's 6 (5).
What the result means
Salernitana have now gone 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
