Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad and FK Sarajevo drew 1-1 in Cup.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad vs FK Sarajevo: the story of the match
FK Sarajevo started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 22' — FK Sarajevo took the lead: 0-1. 39' — HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with FK Sarajevo applying more of the pressure.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
HNK Tomislav TomislavgradDrawFK Sarajevo
Pre-match model estimate: HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad 14%, draw 19%, FK Sarajevo 67%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
HNK Tomislav TomislavgradFK Sarajevo
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min444
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad win in 14% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and FK Sarajevo win 67%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad – FK Sarajevo match report
FK Sarajevo started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. FK Sarajevo took the lead on 22 minutes. HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad drew level at 1-1 on 39 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad and FK Sarajevo.
Match statistics
The shot count read 4-6, 2-3 on target. Corners finished 2-4. Dangerous attacks: 62 for FK Sarajevo, 18 for HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad.
What it means
HNK Tomislav Tomislavgrad have now scored in 8 consecutive matches. FK Sarajevo are now unbeaten in 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Cup
