Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
HSK Zrinjski Mostar beat FK Laktasi 3-1 in Cup.
In our records FK Laktasi and HSK Zrinjski Mostar have met 7 times: FK Laktasi won 1, 0 ended level and HSK Zrinjski Mostar won 6.
Their latest meeting (): HSK Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 FK Laktasi.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: HSK Zrinjski Mostar won 1-3.
Story
FK Laktasi vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar: the story of the match
HSK Zrinjski Mostar started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 13' — HSK Zrinjski Mostar took the lead: 0-1. 20' — HSK Zrinjski Mostar extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2, with HSK Zrinjski Mostar applying more of the pressure.
57' — HSK Zrinjski Mostar extended the lead: 0-3. 66' — FK Laktasi pulled one back: 1-3. HSK Zrinjski Mostar won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK LaktasiDrawHSK Zrinjski Mostar
Pre-match model estimate: FK Laktasi 14%, draw 21%, HSK Zrinjski Mostar 65%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FK LaktasiHSK Zrinjski Mostar
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1253
Last 15 min1246
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Laktasi win in 14% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and HSK Zrinjski Mostar win 65%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
HSK Zrinjski Mostar started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. HSK Zrinjski Mostar took the lead on 13 minutes. HSK Zrinjski Mostar extended their lead to 2-0 on 20 minutes. It was FK Laktasi 0-2 HSK Zrinjski Mostar at half-time; HSK Zrinjski Mostar had the better of the pressure.
HSK Zrinjski Mostar extended their lead to 3-0 on 57 minutes. FK Laktasi pulled one back to make it 1-3 on 66 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 2-8, 2-4 on target. Corners finished 3-7. Dangerous attacks: 91 for HSK Zrinjski Mostar, 30 for FK Laktasi.
What it means
That is 6 straight wins for HSK Zrinjski Mostar. HSK Zrinjski Mostar beat FK Laktasi for the first time since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Cup
