This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Guarani SP U20 win in 31% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Corinthians SP U20 win 44%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Corinthians SP U20 took the lead on 29 minutes. Guarani SP U20 drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Guarani SP U20 and Corinthians SP U20.
Guarani SP U20 completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 65 minutes. Corinthians SP U20 drew level at 2-2 on 76 minutes.
What it means
Guarani SP U20 have now scored in 9 consecutive matches. Corinthians SP U20 extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
