Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Gimnastica Torrelavega and UD Ourense meet on in Copa del Rey.
Venue: El Malecon.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards UD Ourense (42%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
32%26%42%
Gimnastica Torrelavega32%Draw26%UD Ourense42%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Gimnastica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: preview
Gimnastica Torrelavega have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Gimnastica Torrelavega have not won in 7 matches. 6 of Gimnastica Torrelavega's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. UD Ourense have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 3 of UD Ourense's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: Gimnastica Torrelavega 32%, draw 26%, UD Ourense 42%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Gimnastica Torrelavega win in 32% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and UD Ourense win 42%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Gimnastica Torrelavega have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws and 3 defeats). Gimnastica Torrelavega are winless in 7. Goals have flowed in Gimnastica Torrelavega's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Over the last 5 matches, UD Ourense have collected 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Arenas Club de Getxo beat UD Ourense 2-0 last time out. Across 10 matches, UD Ourense have scored 0.3 and let in 1.7 goals per match on average.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa del Rey
