Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata vs CA Sarmiento Junin: the story of the match
13' — Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata took the lead: 1-0. Ignacio Fernández scored it. Half time: 1-0.
74' — Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata extended the lead: 2-0. Franco Torres scored it. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Gimnasia y Esgrima La PlataDrawCA Sarmiento Junin
Pre-match model estimate: Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 60%, draw 22%, CA Sarmiento Junin 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata win in 60% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and CA Sarmiento Junin win 18%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata – CA Sarmiento Junin match report
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata took the lead in the 13th minute: Ignacio Fernández. Half-time: 1-0, Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata in front.
The officials disallowed a Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata goal on 67 minutes. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata extended their lead to 2-0 on 74 minutes thanks to Franco Torres.
The statistics
On target it was 6-2, from 7 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 3-7.
What the result means
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata move on to 29 points. The result takes CA Sarmiento Junin to 19 points. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata are now unbeaten in 8 matches. CA Sarmiento Junin's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
Primera LPF, Clausura
