Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Gabala FK beat Energetik FK Mingachevir 3-0 in Cup.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Gabala FK won 3-0.
Story
Gabala FK vs Energetik FK Mingachevir: the story of the match
Gabala FK started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 38' — Gabala FK took the lead: 1-0. 42' — Gabala FK extended the lead: 2-0. 43' — Gabala FK extended the lead: 3-0. Half time: 3-0, with Gabala FK applying more of the pressure.
Gabala FK won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Gabala FKDrawEnergetik FK Mingachevir
Pre-match model estimate: Gabala FK 88%, draw 8%, Energetik FK Mingachevir 4%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Gabala FKEnergetik FK Mingachevir
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min6368
Last 15 min7431
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Gabala FK win in 88% of the simulated matches, 8% end level and Energetik FK Mingachevir win 4%. Average goals 4.3; the most likely score is 3-0 (10%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Gabala FK started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Gabala FK took the lead on 38 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (42') Gabala FK extended their lead to 2-0. Gabala FK extended their lead to 3-0 on 43 minutes. It was Gabala FK 3-0 Energetik FK Mingachevir at half-time; Gabala FK had the better of the pressure.
The statistics
Gabala FK had 9 shots (7 on target) to Energetik FK Mingachevir's 1 (1). Corners finished 9-2. Dangerous attacks: 73 for Gabala FK, 14 for Energetik FK Mingachevir.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Cup
