One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
FS JelgavaKick-off0-0Ogre United
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FS Jelgava win in 55% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Ogre United win 24%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Ogre United were beaten 4-0 by a rampant FS Jelgava. The half-time score was 2-0. Player of the match: M. Hašek of FS Jelgava, with a ScoreMondo rating of 10.0. Sunday 8 November, Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs: FS Jelgava against Ogre United on matchday 36, kick-off 11:00.
Key moments
FS Jelgava took the lead on 3 minutes. FS Jelgava extended their lead to 2-0 on 29 minutes. It was FS Jelgava 2-0 Ogre United at half-time.
FS Jelgava extended their lead to 3-0 on 49 minutes thanks to T. Rataj, set up by A. Pētersons. FS Jelgava extended their lead to 4-0 in the 62nd minute through M. Semeško, set up by G. Žaleiko.
Match statistics
Corners finished 6-1. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 2 to FS Jelgava and 2 to Ogre United.
Booked for FS Jelgava: G. Žaleiko (31') and G. Patika (50'). Ogre United's yellow cards went to R. Adītājs in the 56th minute and Davis Vejkrigers in the 78th minute.
Ratings and substitutions
Behind him, A. Pētersons at 8.6, G. Žaleiko at 8.5 and T. Rataj at 7.9 were next in the ScoreMondo ratings. FS Jelgava made 5 changes: M. Pudil for A. Pētersons (60'), Arturs Janovskis for G. KaÄanovs (60'), R. Bečers for G. Patika (60') and J. Novikovs for T. Rataj (71'). From the Ogre United bench came A. Marchuk on 46 minutes, L. Dalbins on 71 minutes, Martins Lormanis on 71 minutes and M. Marusii on 71 minutes, among 5 changes.
Before the match
The table had FS Jelgava 7th (32 points) and Ogre United 10th (19 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, FS Jelgava's last 5 matches had brought 5 defeats. FS Jelgava lost 4-3 away to FK Auda in their last match. Ogre United came into the match with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches — 4 without a win. Ogre United were held 0-0 by Riga FC in their latest outing. The record between them over the last 3 matches reads 2-0-1 from FS Jelgava's point of view. When they last met, on 22 August 2026, FS Jelgava won 3-2. There have been 8 goals in the 3 meetings, 2.7 a game. Referee A. Golubevs showed 4 yellow cards.
The bigger picture
FS Jelgava stay 7th on 35 points. Ogre United remain 10th, now with 19 points. FS Jelgava end a run of 7 matches without a win. Ogre United have now gone 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
