30' — Fluminense took the lead: 1-0. Jefferson Savarino scored it. Half time: 1-0.
49' — Fluminense extended the lead: 2-0. Jefferson Savarino scored it. 66' — Fluminense extended the lead: 3-0. Jefferson Savarino scored it. 90' — Fluminense extended the lead: 4-0. Luciano Acosta scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Fluminense won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FluminenseDrawCoritiba
Pre-match model estimate: Fluminense 59%, draw 24%, Coritiba 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-0 rout: Fluminense swept Coritiba aside at Estadio do Maracana. Jefferson Savarino was the star with 3 goals for Fluminense. The half-time score was 1-0.
The story of the match
Fluminense took the lead in the 30th minute: Jefferson Savarino, set up by Hulk. It was Fluminense 1-0 Coritiba at half-time.
Jefferson Savarino made it 2-0 for Fluminense after 49 minutes, set up by Thiago Silva. Fluminense extended their lead to 3-0 on 66 minutes thanks to Jefferson Savarino. Late on, in the 90th minute, Fluminense extended their lead to 4-0 through Luciano Acosta.
The statistics
The shot count read 10-1, 9-0 on target. Fluminense produced 62 dangerous attacks to Coritiba's 23.
What it means
Fluminense have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. Coritiba have now gone 4 matches without a win.