One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
FK VardarKick-off0-0Struga Trim Lum
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Vardar win in 49% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Struga Trim Lum win 24%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
FK Vardar failed to score as Struga Trim Lum won 1-0 in the 1. MFL. Player of the match: M. Radeski of Struga Trim Lum, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.1. The match was played on Monday, 2 November 2026 at Nacional Arena Todor Proeski in Skopje (matchday 12).
The story of the match
Struga Trim Lum took the lead in the 31st minute through M. Radeski. Struga Trim Lum led 1-0 at the break.
Struga Trim Lum had a player sent off on 97 minutes: A. Rochi.
What the numbers say
On target it was 5-3, from 6 and 3 attempts respectively. Corners finished 7-1. The referee showed 10 yellow cards, 4 to FK Vardar and 6 to Struga Trim Lum, and a red. Struga Trim Lum's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 279 for FK Vardar, 94 for Struga Trim Lum. FK Vardar committed 11 fouls to Struga Trim Lum's 24, and the offside count read 2-0.
FK Vardar's yellow cards went to M. Manevski in the 29th minute, A. Omeragic in the 45th minute, D. Babunski in the 60th minute and M. Matic in the 94th minute. Booked for Struga Trim Lum: L. Diako (64'), B. Bojku (69'), M. Hamza (76'), E. Belica (94') and A. Rochi (96').
Who stood out
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to E. Kola (Struga Trim Lum, 6.2), H. Maleski (Struga Trim Lum, 6.2) and L. Rama (Struga Trim Lum, 6.2). From the FK Vardar bench came D. Danev on 46 minutes, E. Spahiu on 73 minutes and D. Castaneda on 82 minutes. Struga Trim Lum made 4 changes: H. Agamah for M. Radeski (57'), M. Hamza for P. Fall (67'), A. Zendelovski for Q. Ismajli (79') and A. Aliji for H. Maleski (79').
How they came into it
Before kick-off FK Vardar were 4th on 21 points and Struga Trim Lum 2nd on 23 points. FK Vardar came into the match with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 9. FK Vardar were held 0-0 by KF Shkendija in their latest outing. Before kick-off, Struga Trim Lum's last 5 matches had brought 4 wins and 1 defeat. Last time out, Struga Trim Lum beat FK Belasica Strumica 2-0 at home. The record between them over the last 7 matches reads 2-3-2 from FK Vardar's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026 in the 1. MFL, went 1-0 to Struga Trim Lum. Those 7 games produced 15 goals, an average of 2.1 per match.
The bigger picture
FK Vardar's 9-match unbeaten run is over. That is 4 straight wins for Struga Trim Lum.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.