FK Tukums 2000/Telms vs FK Auda: the story of the match
37' — FK Auda took the lead: 0-1. O. Ogunji scored it. Half time: 0-1.
76' — FK Auda extended the lead: 0-2. M. Fofana scored it. 78' — FK Tukums 2000/Telms pulled one back: 1-2. B. Samoilovs scored from the penalty spot. FK Auda won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK Tukums 2000/TelmsDrawFK Auda
Pre-match model estimate: FK Tukums 2000/Telms 19%, draw 20%, FK Auda 61%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Tukums 2000/Telms win in 19% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and FK Auda win 61%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 60%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Auda got the better of FK Tukums 2000/Telms, winning 2-1 at Tukuma pilsetas stadions. It was 0-1 at half-time.
Key moments
FK Auda took the lead on 37 minutes thanks to O. Ogunji. FK Auda led 1-0 at the break.
FK Auda extended their lead to 2-0 on 76 minutes thanks to M. Fofana. FK Tukums 2000/Telms pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 78th minute: B. Samoilovs from the penalty spot.
What the numbers say
On target it was 1-2, from 3 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 4-2. Dangerous attacks: 238 for FK Auda, 157 for FK Tukums 2000/Telms.
What the result means
FK Tukums 2000/Telms remain 9th, now with 25 points. FK Auda stay 3rd on 73 points. The wait for a win goes on for FK Tukums 2000/Telms: 7 matches now. FK Auda have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Virsliga
