FK Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
65' — Valerenga took the lead: 0-1. Lucas Haren scored it. Valerenga won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK Bodo/GlimtDrawValerenga
Pre-match model estimate: FK Bodo/Glimt 86%, draw 9%, Valerenga 5%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Bodo/Glimt win in 86% of the simulated matches, 9% end level and Valerenga win 5%. Average goals 4.6; the most likely score is 3-0 (8%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Valerenga beat FK Bodo/Glimt1-0 without conceding at Aspmyra Stadion. The half-time score was 0-0.
Key moments
It was FK Bodo/Glimt 0-0 Valerenga at half-time.
Valerenga took the lead on 65 minutes thanks to Lucas Haren.
The statistics
On target it was 8-7, from 24 and 11 attempts respectively. FK Bodo/Glimt won 10 corners, Valerenga 3. 8 saves came from the FK Bodo/Glimt goalkeeper. FK Bodo/Glimt produced 356 dangerous attacks to Valerenga's 78.
What it means
FK Bodo/Glimt's run of 7 matches with a goal comes to an end. Valerenga have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
