64' — FF Jaro took the lead: 1-0. V. Vuorinen scored it. 79' — IFK Mariehamn equalised: 1-1. An own goal by G. Kocsis. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FF JaroDrawIFK Mariehamn
Pre-match model estimate: FF Jaro 36%, draw 30%, IFK Mariehamn 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Neither FF Jaro nor IFK Mariehamn could find a winner in a 1-1 draw. The half-time score was 0-0.
Key moments
Half-time: 0-0 between FF Jaro and IFK Mariehamn.
FF Jaro took the lead in the 64th minute: V. Vuorinen, set up by F. O. Ness. IFK Mariehamn drew level at 1-1 in the 79th minute: an own goal from G. Kocsis.
The bigger picture
FF Jaro extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. IFK Mariehamn have now scored in 8 consecutive matches. Across 6 meetings in our records: 2 wins for FF Jaro, 2 wins for IFK Mariehamn and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round
