Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
FC Zhetysu vs FC Tobol: the story of the match
14' — FC Zhetysu took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
71' — FC Tobol equalised: 1-1. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC ZhetysuDrawFC Tobol
Pre-match model estimate: FC Zhetysu 41%, draw 26%, FC Tobol 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Zhetysu win in 41% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and FC Tobol win 33%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Zhetysu took the lead on 14 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, FC Zhetysu in front.
FC Tobol drew level at 1-1 on 71 minutes.
What the numbers say
FC Zhetysu won 9 corners, FC Tobol 4.
The bigger picture
FC Zhetysu stay 15th on 26 points. FC Tobol remain 7th, now with 41 points. Across 10 meetings in our records: 1 win for FC Zhetysu, 6 wins for FC Tobol and 3 draws.
Coming up
FC Zhetysu's next match is at home against FC Astana on 31 October. FC Tobol host FC Aktobe next, on 31 October in the Premier League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
