9' — FC Okzhetpes took the lead: 1-0. Ivan Kuzmichev scored it. Half time: 1-0.
54' — FC Okzhetpes extended the lead: 2-0. Vladislav Vassiljev scored it. 83' — FC Okzhetpes extended the lead: 3-0. Erkebulan Nurgaliyev scored from the penalty spot. FC Okzhetpes won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC OkzhetpesDrawFC Kaspiy
Pre-match model estimate: FC Okzhetpes 66%, draw 20%, FC Kaspiy 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Okzhetpes win in 66% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and FC Kaspiy win 14%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Okzhetpes took the lead on 9 minutes thanks to Ivan Kuzmichev, set up by Shakhboz Umarov. FC Okzhetpes led 1-0 at the break.
FC Okzhetpes extended their lead to 2-0 on 54 minutes thanks to Vladislav Vassiljev, set up by Nurgaini Buribayev. After a review on 83 minutes, FC Okzhetpes were given a penalty. FC Okzhetpes extended their lead to 3-0 in the 83rd minute: Erkebulan Nurgaliyev from the penalty spot.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 5-1.
What the result means
FC Okzhetpes remain 4th, now with 51 points. FC Kaspiy slip to 10th (33 points), having started the day 9th. FC Kaspiy's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
Next fixtures
FC Okzhetpes visit Elimai FC next, on 31 October in the Premier League. Next up for FC Kaspiy: home to FC Kyzylzhar on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
