FC Viktoria Plzen vs PFK Levski Sofia: the story of the match
44' — PFK Levski Sofia took the lead: 0-1. Everton Bala scored it. Half time: 0-1.
63' — FC Viktoria Plzen equalised: 1-1. Christophe Kabongo scored it. 65' — PFK Levski Sofia went back in front: 1-2. Reinaldo scored it. PFK Levski Sofia won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Viktoria PlzenDrawPFK Levski Sofia
Pre-match model estimate: FC Viktoria Plzen 51%, draw 24%, PFK Levski Sofia 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Viktoria Plzen win in 51% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and PFK Levski Sofia win 25%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Everton Bala opened the scoring for PFK Levski Sofia after 44 minutes, set up by Reinaldo. Half-time: 0-1, PFK Levski Sofia in front.
Christophe Kabongo equalised for FC Viktoria Plzen at 1-1 after 63 minutes. PFK Levski Sofia went 2-1 up on 65 minutes thanks to Reinaldo, set up by Maicon.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 3-4, 1-3 on target. Dangerous attacks: 60 for FC Viktoria Plzen, 18 for PFK Levski Sofia.
What it means
FC Viktoria Plzen slip to 33rd (0 points), having started the day 32nd. PFK Levski Sofia climb from 25th to 17th on 4 points. FC Viktoria Plzen have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. PFK Levski Sofia are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
Coming up
FC Viktoria Plzen visit FC Vysocina Jihlava next, on 28 October. Next up for PFK Levski Sofia: away at FC Dunav Ruse on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
