FC Thun 1898 vs HNK Hajduk Split: the story of the match
17' — HNK Hajduk Split took the lead: 0-1. Dali scored it. Half time: 0-1.
HNK Hajduk Split won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Thun 1898DrawHNK Hajduk Split
Pre-match model estimate: FC Thun 1898 30%, draw 25%, HNK Hajduk Split 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Thun 1898 win in 30% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and HNK Hajduk Split win 45%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
HNK Hajduk Split took the lead on 17 minutes thanks to Dali. Half-time: 0-1, HNK Hajduk Split in front.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-4, from 7 and 4 attempts respectively. Dangerous attacks: 126 for FC Thun 1898, 63 for HNK Hajduk Split.
The bigger picture
FC Thun 1898 slip to 32nd (0 points), having started the day 30th. HNK Hajduk Split climb from 11th to 8th on 6 points. The wait for a win goes on for FC Thun 1898: 4 matches now. That is 4 straight wins for HNK Hajduk Split.
What’s next
Next up for FC Thun 1898: away at FC Lausanne Sport on Sunday 1 November. HNK Hajduk Split's next match is at home against HNK Gorica on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
