Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FSC Phoenix Mariupol beat FC Metalist Kharkiv 2-0 in Persha Liga.
In our records FC Metalist Kharkiv and FSC Phoenix Mariupol have met 5 times: FC Metalist Kharkiv won 4, 1 ended level and FSC Phoenix Mariupol won 0.
Their latest meeting (): FC Metalist Kharkiv 1-1 FSC Phoenix Mariupol.
Match decisions & VAR
90'Penalty awardedFSC Phoenix MariupolDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FSC Phoenix Mariupol won 0-2.
Story
FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FSC Phoenix Mariupol: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
78' — FSC Phoenix Mariupol took the lead: 0-1. 90' — FSC Phoenix Mariupol extended the lead: 0-2. It came in the closing minutes. FSC Phoenix Mariupol won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Metalist KharkivDrawFSC Phoenix Mariupol
Pre-match model estimate: FC Metalist Kharkiv 31%, draw 28%, FSC Phoenix Mariupol 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Metalist Kharkiv win in 31% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and FSC Phoenix Mariupol win 41%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 45%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Metalist Kharkiv – FSC Phoenix Mariupol match report
Half-time: 0-0 between FC Metalist Kharkiv and FSC Phoenix Mariupol.
FSC Phoenix Mariupol took the lead on 78 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, FSC Phoenix Mariupol extended their lead to 2-0.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 4-4.
What it means
FC Metalist Kharkiv slip to 11th (15 points), having started the day 9th. FSC Phoenix Mariupol climb from 5th to 3rd on 24 points. The wait for a win goes on for FC Metalist Kharkiv: 4 matches now. FSC Phoenix Mariupol are now unbeaten in 7 matches. FSC Phoenix Mariupol had not beaten FC Metalist Kharkiv in any of the previous 5 meetings we have.
What’s next
Next up for FC Metalist Kharkiv: away at FC LNZ Cherkasy on Wednesday 28 October. FSC Phoenix Mariupol's next match is at home against FC Chernihiv on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Persha Liga
