Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Hegelmann B and BFA Vilnius drew 1-1 in 1 Lyga.
In our records FC Hegelmann B and BFA Vilnius have met 5 times: FC Hegelmann B won 2, 0 ended level and BFA Vilnius won 3.
Their latest meeting (): BFA Vilnius 0-1 FC Hegelmann B.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
FC Hegelmann B vs BFA Vilnius: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
83' — BFA Vilnius took the lead: 0-1. 90' — FC Hegelmann B equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Hegelmann BDrawBFA Vilnius
Pre-match model estimate: FC Hegelmann B 37%, draw 22%, BFA Vilnius 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Hegelmann B win in 37% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and BFA Vilnius win 41%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 65%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
BFA Vilnius took the lead on 83 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Hegelmann B drew level at 1-1.
The statistics
On target it was 1-5, from 2 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 7-5.
What it means
FC Hegelmann B remain 14th, now with 27 points. BFA Vilnius slip to 7th (47 points), having started the day 5th. Across 6 meetings in our records: 2 wins for FC Hegelmann B, 3 wins for BFA Vilnius and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1 Lyga
