Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
FC Deportivo Mixco and Xelaju MC meet on in Liga Nacional.
Venue: Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards FC Deportivo Mixco (52%).
Why it matters: A win could put FC Deportivo Mixco top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
52%24%24%
FC Deportivo Mixco52%Draw24%Xelaju MC24%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
FC Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju MC: preview
FC Deportivo Mixco have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. FC Deportivo Mixco are unbeaten in 5 matches. 5 of FC Deportivo Mixco's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. Xelaju MC have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 7 of Xelaju MC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
FC Deportivo Mixco are in position 3 with 27 points, Xelaju MC in position 5 with 24 points. A win could lift FC Deportivo Mixco as high as position 1. A win could lift Xelaju MC as high as position 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: FC Deportivo Mixco 52%, draw 24%, Xelaju MC 24%.
Table by result
FC Deportivo Mixco3
A win takes them top.
A defeat can drop them as low as 5.
Win1Draw2Loss2–5
Xelaju MC5
A win can lift them as high as 2.
A defeat can drop them as low as 6.
Win2–5Draw5Loss5–6
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Deportivo Mixco win in 52% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Xelaju MC win 24%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 36%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It is 3rd against 5th: FC Deportivo Mixco have 27 points, Xelaju MC 24 points. Xelaju MC trail FC Deportivo Mixco by 3 points. FC Deportivo Mixco can climb to the top with victory.
Recent form
Over the last 5 matches, FC Deportivo Mixco have collected 2 wins and 3 draws. FC Deportivo Mixco have not lost in 5 matches. FC Deportivo Mixco average 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 10.
Over the last 5 matches, Xelaju MC have collected 3 wins and 2 defeats. Last time out, Xelaju MC beat CSD Municipal1-0 at home. 7 of Xelaju MC's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Nacional
