FC Cincinnati vs DC United: the story of the match
14' — FC Cincinnati took the lead: 1-0. David Doudera scored it. 38' — DC United equalised: 1-1. Kimito Nono scored it. Half time: 1-1.
55' — FC Cincinnati went back in front: 2-1. Teenage Hadebe scored it. FC Cincinnati won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC CincinnatiDrawDC United
Pre-match model estimate: FC Cincinnati 47%, draw 21%, DC United 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Cincinnati win in 47% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and DC United win 32%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 69%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Cincinnati took the lead in the 14th minute: David Doudera. Kimito Nono equalised for DC United at 1-1 after 38 minutes, set up by João Peglow. A DC United goal stood after a VAR check in the 39th minute. The first half ended 1-1.
FC Cincinnati went 2-1 up on 55 minutes thanks to Teenage Hadebe, set up by Evander.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-3, from 8 and 6 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-9. Dangerous attacks: 135 for DC United, 97 for FC Cincinnati.
Next fixtures
FC Cincinnati visit Inter Miami CF next, on 28 October in MLS. Next up for DC United: away at Toronto FC on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
MLS
