Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Bidezarra and CD Aoiz drew 1-1 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match details
Coaches
Iñaki Casado · –
Match decisions & VAR
71'Red cardCD AoizDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
FC Bidezarra vs CD Aoiz: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
64' — CD Aoiz took the lead: 0-1. 71' — CD Aoiz had a player sent off. 90' — FC Bidezarra equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC BidezarraDrawCD Aoiz
Pre-match model estimate: FC Bidezarra 34%, draw 28%, CD Aoiz 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Bidezarra win in 34% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and CD Aoiz win 38%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
