Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Alverca U19 won 4-0.
Story
FC Alverca U19 vs Santa Clara U19: the story of the match
1' — FC Alverca U19 took the lead: 1-0. 16' — FC Alverca U19 extended the lead: 2-0. 26' — FC Alverca U19 extended the lead: 3-0. Half time: 3-0.
69' — FC Alverca U19 extended the lead: 4-0. FC Alverca U19 won 4-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Alverca U19DrawSanta Clara U19
Pre-match model estimate: FC Alverca U19 26%, draw 25%, Santa Clara U19 49%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Alverca U19 win in 26% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Santa Clara U19 win 49%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Alverca U19 took the lead on 1 minutes. The officials disallowed a FC Alverca U19 goal on 5 minutes. FC Alverca U19 extended their lead to 2-0 on 16 minutes. FC Alverca U19 extended their lead to 3-0 on 26 minutes. It was FC Alverca U19 3-0 Santa Clara U19 at half-time.
FC Alverca U19 extended their lead to 4-0 on 69 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 1-8.
What it means
Santa Clara U19's 5-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
