FC Aktobe vs FC Kairat Almaty: the story of the match
5' — FC Aktobe took the lead: 1-0. S. Ojo scored it. 34' — FC Kairat Almaty equalised: 1-1. A. Tuyakbaev scored it. 38' — FC Aktobe went back in front: 2-1. Pibe scored it. Half time: 2-1.
70' — FC Kairat Almaty equalised: 2-2. M. Gual scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC AktobeDrawFC Kairat Almaty
Pre-match model estimate: FC Aktobe 27%, draw 24%, FC Kairat Almaty 49%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Aktobe win in 27% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and FC Kairat Almaty win 49%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Aktobe took the lead in the 5th minute: S. Ojo. FC Kairat Almaty drew level at 1-1 in the 34th minute: A. Tuyakbaev. FC Kairat Almaty had a goal ruled out in the 38th minute. FC Aktobe went 2-1 up on 38 minutes thanks to Pibe, set up by D. Sosah. Half-time: 2-1, FC Aktobe in front.
M. Gual equalised for FC Kairat Almaty at 2-2 after 70 minutes. The officials disallowed a FC Kairat Almaty goal on 81 minutes. FC Aktobe had a goal ruled out.
The statistics
FC Aktobe won 6 corners, FC Kairat Almaty 5.
What the result means
FC Aktobe stay 5th on 46 points. FC Kairat Almaty remain 2nd, now with 64 points. FC Aktobe have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. FC Kairat Almaty have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for FC Aktobe, 6 wins for FC Kairat Almaty and 1 draw.
Coming up
FC Aktobe visit FC Tobol next, on 31 October in the Premier League. Next up for FC Kairat Almaty: home to Altay Oskemen on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
