Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town kick-off time: 14/11/2026 12:30
England
League Two Round 15
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Exeter CityWLWWDScored in 4 matches in a row
- Cheltenham TownLWLWW
Recent meetings
More- English EFL TrophyCheltenham Town2 - 2Exeter City
League Two
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Crewe Alexandra | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham Town | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 11 | Tranmere Rovers | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Exeter City and Cheltenham Town meet on in League Two.
Venue: St James Park.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Exeter City (51%).
Why it matters: Exeter City are chasing the Promotion places.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town: preview
Exeter City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Exeter City have scored in 4 matches in a row. 5 of Exeter City's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Cheltenham Town have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Cheltenham Town's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Exeter City are in position 12 with 19 points, Cheltenham Town in position 5 with 21 points. A win could lift Exeter City as high as position 3. A win could lift Cheltenham Town as high as position 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Exeter City 51%, draw 25%, Cheltenham Town 24%.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Promotion places.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 13.
- A win can take them into the Promotion places.
- A defeat drops them to 6.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Exeter City win in 51% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Cheltenham Town win 24%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
