ES Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — Olympique de Marseille took the lead: 0-1. Amine Harit scored it. 90' — Olympique de Marseille extended the lead: 0-2. It came in the closing minutes. Olympique de Marseille won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ES TroyesDrawOlympique de Marseille
Pre-match model estimate: ES Troyes 24%, draw 24%, Olympique de Marseille 52%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was ES Troyes 0-0 Olympique de Marseille at half-time.
Olympique de Marseille took the lead on 50 minutes thanks to Amine Harit, set up by Emerson. Late on, in the 90th minute, Olympique de Marseille extended their lead to 2-0.
Match statistics
On target it was 3-2, from 19 and 7 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-3.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for ES Troyes: 5 matches now. 6 defeats in a row come to an end for Olympique de Marseille. Olympique de Marseille beat ES Troyes for the first time since 2023.
What’s next
ES Troyes host Le Mans next, on 31 October in Ligue 1. Next up for Olympique de Marseille: home to Toulouse on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
