One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
ES MetlaouiKick-off0-0ES Zarzis
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ES Metlaoui win in 34% of the simulated matches, 33% end level and ES Zarzis win 33%. Average goals 1.8; the most likely score is 0-0 (16%); both teams score in 35%.
Goals scored per match: 1.1Goals conceded per match: 1.5
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: ES Metlaoui won 2-1.
Story
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
64' — ES Metlaoui took the lead: 1-0. 88' — ES Zarzis equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — ES Metlaoui went back in front: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. 99' — ES Zarzis had a player sent off. ES Metlaoui won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ES MetlaouiDrawES Zarzis
Pre-match model estimate: ES Metlaoui 34%, draw 33%, ES Zarzis 33%.
ES Metlaoui snatched a late 2-1 win over ES Zarzis. It was 0-0 at half-time. The match was played on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Metlaoui Municipal stadium in Metlaoui (matchday 7).
The story of the match
Half-time: 0-0 between ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis.
ES Metlaoui took the lead on 64 minutes. Late on, in the 88th minute, ES Zarzis drew level at 1-1. Just 2 minutes later (90') ES Metlaoui went 2-1 up. ES Zarzis had a player sent off on 99 minutes.
Match statistics
The shot count read 2-2, 2-1 on target. Corners finished 5-2. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 2 to ES Metlaoui and 2 to ES Zarzis, and a red. ES Metlaoui committed 19 fouls to ES Zarzis' 23, and the offside count read 5-3.
The context
Before kick-off ES Metlaoui were 15th on 3 points and ES Zarzis 12th on 6 points. ES Metlaoui came into the match with 1 win and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches — 3 straight defeats. AS Marsa beat ES Metlaoui 3-0 last time out. Before kick-off, ES Zarzis' last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. ES Zarzis lost 1-0 away to Stade Tunisien in their last match. ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis have met 5 times in our records: 1 win for ES Metlaoui, 3 for ES Zarzis and 1 draw. The last meeting, in 2026, went 1-0 to ES Zarzis. Those 5 games produced 5 goals, an average of 1.0 per match.
What it means
ES Metlaoui climb from 15th to 13th on 6 points. ES Zarzis remain 12th, now with 6 points. 3 defeats in a row come to an end for ES Metlaoui. The wait for a win goes on for ES Zarzis: 4 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
