Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
EC Nova Cidade and AA Carapebus meet on in Carioca, Serie B1.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards EC Nova Cidade (57%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
57%25%18%
EC Nova Cidade57%Draw25%AA Carapebus18%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
EC Nova Cidade vs AA Carapebus: preview
EC Nova Cidade have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. EC Nova Cidade have not won in 4 matches. 5 of EC Nova Cidade's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. AA Carapebus have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 6 of AA Carapebus's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: EC Nova Cidade 57%, draw 25%, AA Carapebus 18%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): EC Nova Cidade win in 57% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and AA Carapebus win 18%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Recent form for EC Nova Cidade: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 5, with 5 goals for and 5 against. EC Nova Cidade have gone 4 matches without a win. EC Nova Cidade average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game over their last 10.
AA Carapebus come into it with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from 5 matches. Last time out, AA Carapebus beat Audax Rio de Janeiro EC 2-1 at home. 6 of AA Carapebus' last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
