Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
EC Nova Cidade and AA Carapebus meet on in Carioca, Serie B1.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards EC Nova Cidade (51%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
51%26%23%
EC Nova Cidade51%Draw26%AA Carapebus23%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
EC Nova Cidade vs AA Carapebus: preview
EC Nova Cidade have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. EC Nova Cidade have not won in 3 matches. 5 of EC Nova Cidade's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. AA Carapebus have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. AA Carapebus have not won in 11 matches. 5 of AA Carapebus's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: EC Nova Cidade 51%, draw 26%, AA Carapebus 23%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): EC Nova Cidade win in 51% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and AA Carapebus win 23%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, EC Nova Cidade have collected 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. EC Nova Cidade have gone 3 matches without a win. EC Nova Cidade average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 10.
Over the last 5 matches, AA Carapebus have collected 1 draw and 4 defeats. AA Carapebus are winless in 11. Across 10 matches, AA Carapebus have scored 0.7 and let in 2.2 goals per match on average.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
